Monday, August 24, 2009

MILLIONS FACE SHRINKING SOCIAL SECURITY PAYMENTS

MILLIONS FACE SHRINKING SOCIAL SECURITY PAYMENTS

WASHINGTON-Millions of older people face shrinking Social Security checks next year, the first time in a generation that payment would not rise.

The trustees who oversee Social Security are projecting there won't be a cost of living adjustment (COLA) for the next two years. Thathasn't happened since automatic increases were adopted in 1975.

By law, Social Security benefits cannot go down. Nevertheless, monthly payments would drop for millions of people in the Medicare drug prescrption program because the premiums, which often are deducted from Social Security payments, are scheduled to go up slightly.

“I will promise you, they count on that COLA,” said Barbara Kennelly, a former Democratic congresswomen from Connecticut who now heads the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare. “To some people, it might not be a big deal. But to seniors, especially with their health care costs, it is a big deal.”

Cost of living adjustments are pegged to inflation, which has been negative this year, largely because energy prices are below 2008 levels.

Advocates say older people still face higher prices because they spend a disproportionate amount of their income on health care, where costs rise faster than inflation. Many also have suffered from declininghome values and shrinking stock portfolios just as they are relying on those assets for income.

“For many elderly, don't feel that inflation is low because their expenses are still going up,” said David Cetner, legislative policy director for AARP. “Anyone who has savings and investments has seen these serious losses.”

About 50 million retired and disabled Americans receive Social Security benefits. The average monthly benefit for retirees is $1,l53 this year. All beneficiaries receive a 5.8 percent increase in Jaunary, the largest since 1982.

More than 32 million people are in the Medicare prescription program. Average monthly premiums are set to go from $28 this year to $30 next year, though they vary by plan. About 6 million people in the program have premiums deducted from their monthly Social Security payments, according to Social Sescurity Administration.

Millions of people with Medicare Part B coverage for doctors' visits also have their premiums deducted from Social Security payments. Part B premiums are expected to rise as well. But under the law, the increase cannot be larger than the increase in Social Security benefits for most recipients.

There is no such hold-harmless provision for drug premiums.

Kennelly's group wants Congress to increase Social Security benefits next year, even though the formula doesn't call for it. She would like to see either a 1 percent increase in monthly payments or a one time payment of $150.

The cost of a one-time payment, a little less than $8 billion, could be covered by increasing the amount of income subject to Social Security taxes, Kennelly said. Workers only pay Social Security taxes on the first $106,800 of income, a limit that rises each year with the national average wage.

But the limit only increases if monthly benefits increase.

Critics argue that Social Security recipients shouldn't get an increase with inflation is negative. They note that recipients got a big increase in January—after energy prices had started to fall. They also note that Social Security recipients received a one-time $250 payments in the spring as part of the government's economic stimulus package.

Consumer prices are down from 2008 levels, giving Social Security recipients more purchasing power, even if their benefits stay the same, said Andrew G. Biggs, a resident scholar at the American Enterprises Institute, a Washington think tank.

“Seniors may perceive that they are being hurt because there is no COLA, but they are in fact not getting hurt,” Biggs said. “Congress has to be able to tell people they are not getting everything they want.”

Social Security is also facing long-term financial problems. The retirement program is projected to start paying out more money than it receives in 2016. Without changes, the retirement fund will be depleted in 2037, according the Social Security trustees' annual report this year.

President Barack Obama has said he would like to tackle Social Security next year, after Congresses finishes work on health care, climate change and new financial regulations.

Lawmakers are preoccupied by health care, making it difficult to address other tough issues. Advocates for older people hope their efforts will get a boost in October, when the Social Security Administration officially announces that there will not be an increase in benefits next year.

“I think a lot of seniors do not know what's coming down the pike, and I believe that when they hear that, they're going to be upset,” said Sen. Bernie Sanders, an independent from Vermont who is working on a proposal for one-time payments for Social Security recipients.

“It is my view that seniors are going to need help this year, and it would not be acceptable for Congress to simply turn its back,” he said.

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